Study finds early climate models were successful at global warming forecasts

Study finds early climate models were successful at global warming forecasts

A study in Geophysical Research Letters assessed the forecasting skill of climate models published between 1970 and 2007. Their results show that the physics in these early models was accurate in predicting subsequently observed global surface warming. The study adjusted for factors that would have been ’unknowable’ at the time of the forecasts in making the assessments.

Skeptic
Skeptic
Crimson Jester
Crimson Jester 1 months

Didn't they predict an ice age back in the 70s? I clearly recall that. In fact the video was still up in YouTube. For now.

Rocky
Rocky 1 months

This maybe the stupidest thing I have ever read. Scientists didn't have to do a whole lot of predictions when we knew we were on our way out of a cyclical glacial period. What a stupid study. All they had to do was look back at historical data to see the cycle and know what state in the cycle we were in. Just like we can easily predict when the next glacial period and cooling will begin as the cycle progresses. I hate when scientists use out of context data to make it seems as though they have predictive capabilities just like the infamous hockey stick graph. When data is focused in on and context is lost we lose sight of the most obvious truths.

Hermit T Mog
Hermit T Mog 1 months

I ain't no expert but did this just say that once the studies were updated with and adjusted with relevant data they were more accurate? So after you got a failing grade you go back and all the stuff you didn't know and the score improved. Sounds legit. I am still waiting for the ice age Lenard ward me about in the 70's

I have no idea
I have no idea 1 months

Turns out if you update a prediction with what actually happened the prediction gets better. /s

porcus
porcus 1 months

I like the refernces to multiple incorrect climate models. Makes you wonder which ones they use for us in the public.

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